Recent Sell – SCG

Three years ago, I initiated a position in utility SCANA (SCG).  SCG is a regulated electric utility based in the southeast U.S.  They also own other power-generating facilities such as nuclear, coal, hydro, natural gas and solar.

I bought 80 shares at just under $50/sh.  The investment appeared to be a good one with the stock rising over 50% (to over $75/sh.) just a little over one year later.  That’s a big move for a utility, as utilities traditionally offer a large yield and small price appreciation.

Over the next year, the stock drifted lower into the high $60s.  Given that I was still nicely profitable on my investment, and collecting a healthy dividend, I didn’t see a reason to sell.

Things changed for SCG in the middle of last year though.  SCG began to trend lower with rising interest rates, but declines really accelerated as investors became increasingly worried about SCG’s investment in its new nuclear plant that continued seeing delays and cost run-ups.  In late July 2017, the nuclear project was abandoned by SCG, leaving customers with nothing to show for the increased prices they paid in their monthly bills to help fund the project.

In the last 7 months of 2017, the price of SCG fell from just over $70 to just under $40.  Quite the plunge!  I considered selling SCG at the end of 2017.

Less than 1 week into 2018, Dominion Energy (D) and SCG agreed to an all-stock merger.  This temporarily boosted SCG’s price (to just under $50), and offered to remove the uncertainty regarding what might happen to SCG.   I was happy with the prospect of becoming a D shareholder.

In February, SCG froze their dividend in what typically would have been the time for a dividend raise.  This seemed fair in light of the pending merger.  As the additional early months of 2018 passed though, doubt about the merger completion grew, and the price of SCG drifted lower again, all the way to the mid $30s.

Just recently, SCG decided to delay a declaration of their Q2 dividend (which would normally pay on 7/1).  With the thought of possibly not getting a dividend anytime soon (maybe at all), and having to rely on a merger than seemed to be more in doubt every day that passed, I decided to cut my losses and exit my SCG position.  I figure there have to be better places for my investment.

 

SCG

On 6/5/18, I sold my entire SCG position of 89.509 shares at $37.01/share, for a total of $3,312.69 after SEC fees.

With the sale, I realized a long-term capital loss of $1,184.99, and a short-term capital loss of $40.69.  While I’m sad to realize a loss, I’m happy to be done with the uncertainty surrounding SCG and their merger with D.  I’m also happy to not have to worry about whether or not I’m getting a dividend from SCG moving forward.

With the sale, the number of stocks in my Portfolio drops to 40, and I realize a reduction of $219.30 in annual forward dividend income.  I’ll look to re-deploy the capital obtained in the sale into another dividend-paying stock soon.  I don’t want to be without those dividends for too long!

 

What Now?

As a result of the SCG sale I no longer have any utilities in my Portfolio.  As you may know, I tend to lean toward higher-growth stocks for the Portfolio, as opposed to higher-yield stocks, so utilities are not high on my list of stocks to acquire.  However, it seems I should have some exposure to the Utilities sector.  If I go this route, I’m looking at possibly investing in Dominion Energy (D), the stock I would own if the merger of SCG is completed.  D shares appear to be suffering as much as SCG lately, however, I have more confidence that D would be fine compared to SCG should the deal between them fall apart.  Southern Company (SO) is also on the table for purchase.

Outside of utilities, I’m looking at initiating a position in Altria (MO) to replace SCG.  MO’s yield is close to 5%, and would go a long way in replacing a good chuck of the dividend income lost with selling SCG.  I’ve never directly owned a tobacco stock before, so I’ll have to do some additional research here.

Adding to my positions in Cardinal Health (CAH) or Comcast (CMCSA) are a possibility as well.  Both stocks have suffered in recent months.  There could be values to be had, but of course there could be more uncertain times ahead, too.

A couple of stocks from my recent watchlist, KAR Auction Services (KAR) and 3M (MMM), have moved up in price recently, so those are not in play for me here.

 

Would you have decided to wait and see what plays out with SCG?  What do you think of my possible replacements for SCG?  Any other stock replacement ideas you think I should consider?  I look forward to your comments!

4 thoughts on “Recent Sell – SCG

  1. I had a large position in SCG for a couple of years and really liked the company, but when things started to go downhill and there were news about its management being investigated, I got out right away by selling entire position. In hindsight it was a great decision as I still pocketed a handsome profit while reducing downward risk.

    SCG never really recovered from its downfall. The merger with D would only go through if SC gov allow D to recoup expenses by keeping rate hikes intact. Looks like it may not happen and D may walk away from the deal.

    A lesson to learn is that utilities are not immune to bad management or big losses due to natural disasters (e.g. PCG). Utilities do and can go bankrupt.

    As for replacing SCG, why not buy another utility? Utilities have been down quite a bit and yielding very well. There are many good names yielding upwards of 5% e.g. SO, D, PPL, and DUK.

    Not a fan of tobacco companies.

    1. Hello Mr. ATM… haven’t heard from you in a while, so welcome back.
      Sounds like you exited SCG at a good time. In hindsight, I wish I’d sold earlier, but I know I can’t be right each time.
      I’ve had good and bad experiences with faltering companies and their stock. In the case of RPM, trouble with regard to asbestos liability decimated the stock many years ago, but I held on and kept re-investing. The company ultimately addressed the issue, and I was well rewarded. In the case of SCG, I just get the sense that their troubles could just be beginning, especially if the merger with D falls apart, and as I said, I concluded that there are better places for my investment.
      Another utility is certainly an option, and I have some familiarity with D and SO, but in general I’m not a fan of utilities, although telecom is at the bottom of my list.
      We’ll see what shakes out… I may not replace SCG with a single purchase, but perhaps spread the funds across a new holding and some existing ones.

  2. As a D shareholder, I’ve been watching the chain of events closely from the D side of the acquisition. But definitely not the SCG side. My initial thought was the same of yours, the dividend was frozen due to the acquisition. But I agree with your assessment of the full situation. Mergers like this can drag on and if you aren’t getting the dividend along the way, what’s the point in sticking around to wait? I’m looking forward to seeing how you use your capital going forward.

    Bert

    1. Hey Bert. Thanks for your input on this. I’m glad to hear you view the situation in a similar manner.
      There’s still a chance SCG green lights the dividend that was slated for payment on 7/1, but it seems more unlikely each day that passes.
      I invested most of the proceeds from my SCG sale just a couple of days ago… I’ll try to post something about it this weekend.

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